New Iceland Tech Shakes Up Global Geothermal Energy

Amongst the many common facts about Iceland (Björk, Chess in Reykjavik, and Viking Sagas), many know the island’s nickname, “The Land of Fire and Ice.” Beautiful landscapes draw tourists to volcanos and geysers, contributing to an internationally renowned clean energy model that derives 99% of power from clean energy through a combination of geothermal and hydropower sources. The geothermal element of this framework is vital for the model’s success and profitability. The conventional wisdom once posited that Iceland’s energy model was unique and could not be widely exported and replicated. Now, thanks to a series of scientific innovations, Iceland may end up as a model for energy policy in many countries and regions worldwide.

Efficient natural geothermal energy extraction requires the concentrated occurrence of three factors: 1) permeable land, 2) underground heat, and 3) water. This manifests as active volcanoes, geothermal vents, hot springs, and geysers. The geological activity keeps the temperature inside the Earth high, allowing extractable energy to be accessed from the planet’s surface. If even one characteristic is lacking, geothermal production at scale is difficult. This is why even tectonically active areas such as Japan, Patagonia, East Africa, and New Zealand have historically lagged in geothermal production and why it is so rare.

David Yager – How Will Ottawa Enforce Canada’s 2030 Emission Reduction Targets?

There has been significant public debate about the new federal emissions reduction targets for 2030 and the parallel “Just Transition” discussion document titled “Committee on Natural Resources (RNNR) Creating a Fair and Equitable Canadian Energy Transformation. Wednesday June 1, 2022.”

This document is the source of the published job losses in various industries that have appeared in the media.
https://open.canada.ca/data/en/dataset/24ae60ef-359d-4c67-aa31-a71e5e7aa88d

In the 2015 COP 21 Paris Agreement so often cited as justification for the foregoing, Canada originally committed to reducing its GHG emissions by 30% from 2005 levels by 2030.

Natural Gas in the Transition to Net Zero

Proponents for the use of more natural gas (NG) to aid the energy transition use the following arguments:

  • NG in combined cycle gas turbines (CCGT) produces roughly 50% of the CO2 emissions as a coal-fired power plant with negligible particulate matter (PM2.5), negligible nitrogen and sulphur gases (NOx & SOx), and negligible amounts of a few other trace gases that are generated by coal combustion.

  • Compressed NG (CNG) vehicles are “off-the-shelf” conversions and have been used for 40 years, having helped cities like Beijing and New Delhi reduce pollution and particulate matter (PM2.5) that comes from alternative fossil fuels (gasoline, diesel).  CNG taxi-fleets are mandated is some congested cities. 

  • NG is far safer in terms of accidents and injuries than coal, doesn’t generate huge spoil piles that may exude acidic drainage, is low sulphur (so desulphurization is not needed), does not require train or ship transport (+ buffer stockpiles at both ends of the delivery chain).  

  • CCGT systems can ramp electrical power up and down relatively quickly to meet almost all of the daily demand fluctuations in a grid, whereas a coal-fired electricity plant (and nuclear reactors) operates at “steady-state power output”.

Geothermal Power

In densely populated countries, getting “sign-on” for projects that have some surface impact is challenging, even if the project is green, relatively low-rise, and so on.  The article below cites the important issue as “preserving rural character”.  The Wytch Farm oil field near Portsmouth, UK, had to be designed so that nothing stood taller than the surrounding pine forest, and an injunction against offshore drilling in the Bay meant that BP had to develop long-reach drilling from “hidden” on-shore drilling sites.  For some time, these were the farthest reaching boreholes in the industry, and no one regrets developing the technology.

These are always challenging issues when it comes to projects, in this case a geothermal power project proposed using deep drill holes and formation stimulation, but with a “low-rise” surface infrastructure. 

Meeting all concerns of all stakeholders is never possible, but in all the project cases I have been involved with, the most important lesson is summarized in a few dos and don’ts:

Nuclear Power

More and more, scientists, engineers and environmentalists are touting Nuclear Power as part of the solution to achieving “net-zero” emissions by 2050.  The arguments are presented eloquently in the attached American-authored article that came out yesterday in Foreign Affairs.  

 

In Canada, we have CANDU 6 technology, developed over 50 years with the investment of billions of dollars.  CANDU 6 reactors are as reliable or more reliable than other nuclear technologies in other countries.  We have the sources of Uranium in Canada.  We have the technology for deuterium-enriched water production. 

 

Canada can meet needs for base power provision through rapid permitting of additional CANDU 6 lines at sites that are already licensed.  To me, this seems a better bet than waiting for the development and certification and siting and licensing and permitting (and social acceptance…) of Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) at new locations.  These SMR technologies are being developed in other countries, and we will be beholden to them if we fail to realize our potential.  As SMRs emerge in the next 20-25 years as viable options (I hope!), they can be factored in to our national energy plans.  Abandoning two generations of expertise in CANDU technology seems to me to be a less desirable pathway – going the way of the Avro Arrow… 

'Deep Geothermal' Promises to Let Drillers Go Deeper, Faster and Hotter

The radically new technologies such as millimeter wave drilling, laser drilling, plasma drilling, and a few others that are less well known, have been around for a few years.  Of course, technology continues to advance, but consideration of these new approaches must be assessed dispassionately, and repeatedly as developments ensue.  I attach a few comments below, but there are also projects to increase the rate of penetration of more conventional methods. 

 

Recently, in the FORGE Project context in Utah (https://utahforge.com/), improvements in conventional rotary drilling using polycrystalline diamond compact (PDC) bits have increased the rate of penetration in the local granites by a factor of four! This is an astounding improvement, and I refer you to the website and to this JPT article for further details:

 

Another approach mentioned in the article is the ORCHYD Project in Europe (www.orchyd.eu).  They are pursuing a combination of percussive drilling (highly effective in brittle rock), high pressure water jets actuated downhole to help break the granite, new bit shapes, and a couple of other tweaks to the process.  Achieving rate-of-penetration values in excess of 15 metres/hour for a 20 cm hole diameter during active drilling time-on-bottom seems possible.  Excellent advances over the last decades in percussive drilling in the mining industry tend to support such an optimistic outlook. 

The Earth as a source of heat – in our Great White North

Dr Catherine Hickson is CEO of Terrapin Geothermics (https://www.terrapingeo.com/) and the proponent for the Alberta No. 1 geothermal proposed project (https://www.albertano1.ca/) involving hot fluids at 4 km depth and perhaps co-sequestration of carbon dioxide. Her slide deck presented recently in Yellowknife outlines a vision of using the Earth as a source of heat – a highly valuable commodity in our Great White North.

I am adding a few comments here for context, please look at her slides here.

Energy in the North (isolated, generally small communities, no local oil and gas)

  • Hydro is generally not available except in southwestern parts of NWT and some YK locations. Furthermore, the large investments needed for hydro mean it is suitable in a very limited way. Tidal and “run-of-river” hydro are not options.

  • Solar energy is too seasonal for direct photovoltaic electricity to be used

  • In many communities, mild winds in the winter also disqualify wind power year-round use

  • Renewable energy cannot be stored seasonally in any form except converting it to a fuel (e.g., H2) or in a heat repository in the rock mass large enough so that the heat losses are small compared to the amount of heat stored seasonally. H2 or other fuel technology in the north is a distant possibility at best, for many reasons.

  • Small modular nuclear reactor technology for communities less than 10,000 persons is at least a full generation away, likely much more, and it has its own challenges such as wastes and very high costs for small power applications (0.25 – 10 MW).

Renault plans to harness geothermal energy and help heat plant

Published November 25, 2022, CNBC by Anmar Frangoul

Renault wants to use water from depths of 4,000 meters to supply heat to an old production plant

KEY POINTS

  • The Renault Group’s CEO, Luca de Meo, describes plans for company’s Douai plant as “one of the most ambitious decarbonisation projects on a European industrial site.”

  • The U.S. Department of Energy says geothermal energy “supplies renewable power around the clock and emits little or no greenhouse gases.”

  • Renault says it’s targeting carbon neutrality in Europe by the year 2040 and globally by 2050.


The Renault Group is working with French utility Engie on the development of a geothermal energy project at the automaker’s Douai facility, with the collaboration set to last 15 years.

In a statement, Renault said Thursday a subsidiary of Engie would start drilling work at Douai — which was established in 1970 and focuses on bodywork assembly — in late 2023.

The plan centers around taking hot water from a depth of 4,000 meters, or more than 13,100 feet.

According to Renault, this water will be used to help meet the Douai site’s “industrial and heating process needs from 2025.” The temperature of the water will be between 130 and 140 degrees Celsius.

“Once implemented, this geothermal technology would provide a power of nearly 40 MW continuously,” the company said.

“In summer, when the need for heat is lower, geothermal energy could be used to produce carbon-free electricity,” it added.

The Renault Group’s CEO, Luca de Meo, described the program planned for Douai as “one of the most ambitious decarbonisation projects on a European industrial site.”

According to the International Energy Agency, geothermal energy refers to “energy available as heat contained in or discharged from the earth’s crust” which can be utilized to produce electricity and provide direct heat.

Elsewhere, the U.S. Department of Energy says geothermal energy “supplies renewable power around the clock and emits little or no greenhouse gases.”

News about Renault’s geothermal project with Engie was accompanied by details of other projects centered around decarbonizing operations at a number of the automotive giant’s industrial facilities.

Looking at the bigger picture, Renault says it’s targeting carbon neutrality in Europe by the year 2040 and globally by 2050.

Despite these aims, a top executive at the firm recently told CNBC that the firm saw the internal combustion engine as continuing to play a crucial role in its business over the coming years.

Earlier this month, it was announced the Renault Group and Chinese firm Geely had signed a non-binding framework agreement to establish a company focused on the development, production and supply of “hybrid powertrains and highly efficient ICE [internal combustion engine] powertrains.”

Speaking to CNBC’s Charlotte Reed, Renault Chief Financial Officer Thierry Pieton sought to explain some of the reasoning behind the planned partnership with Geely.

“In our view, and according to all the studies that we’ve got, there is no scenario where ICE and hybrid engines represent less than 40% of the market with a horizon of 2040,” he said. “So it’s actually … a market that’s going to continue to grow.”

Renault’s continued focus on the internal combustion engine comes at a time when some big economies are looking to move away from vehicles that use fossil fuels.

The U.K., for example, wants to stop the sale of new diesel and gasoline cars and vans by 2030. It will require, from 2035, all new cars and vans to have zero tailpipe emissions.

The European Union, which the U.K. left on Jan. 31, 2020, is pursuing similar targets. Over in the United States, California is banning the sale of new gasoline-powered vehicles starting in 2035.

Energy Transition Outlook 2022

DNV, a Norwegian company (https://www.dnv.com/ ) publishes a document on the World Energy Transition.  Links below will allow you to download it.  The North American subsection is attached.  

The transition to renewable energy and fuels that are not sources in oil, gas and coal is proving to be a challenge in a complex, high-energy-use world.

The publication provides a comprehensive analysis of the development of the global energy system towards 2050.

 

Here are some selected highlights of the forecast:

·         Electrification will play a much bigger role in the energy system, increasing its share of the global energy mix from 19% to 36%

·         With an 83% share of the electricity system in 2050, renewables are squeezing the fossil share of the overall energy mix to just below the 50% mark in 2050

·         Despite short-term raw material cost challenges, the capacity growth of solar and wind is unstoppable: by 2050 they will have grown 20-fold and 10-fold, respectively

·         Emissions must fall by 8% each year to secure net zero by 2050

Download the Energy Transition Outlook

Looking for the highlights? Download the Executive Summary

The Executive Summary covers highlights from the main report in a brief, but comprehensive 40 page document.

Download the Executive Summary

Did you miss the launch event?

We had more than 10,000 people registered to watch our launch event with a great line-up of speakers. Don't worry if you missed it, you can view the recording on our Livestream channel:

https://livestream.dnv.com/energy-transition-outlook-2022

 

We also streamed the event live on social media where it can be found on LinkedIn and YouTube.

Green Hydrogen Project - Egypt

The article below is from an Australian blog, talking about an Australian company (Fortescue) that proposes a massive project in Egypt to make green hydrogen. Countries with a lot of sun are talking a lot about hydrogen, especially Australia.  Australia and the USA seem far ahead of the “others” in the sun-to-hydrogen endeavours. 

 

Hydrogen may indeed become a critically important aspect of the energy systems of the future.  However, it is not an energy source: it is a means of storing energy from other sources.  Combustion of H2 (in fuel cells or in turbines) can generate almost pollutant free power without particulate matter.  If the hydrogen is fully generated from renewable energy sources, then it is truly “green”.  Nevertheless, creating a viable “green” Hydrogen economy for the world, even at a modest scale, is going to involve a vast infrastructure investment (production-storage-transportation-use), and many of the technical elements associated with fully green H2 power are not yet beyond TRL5 or TRL6.

Here are some of the technical issues, and several of them appear to be genuine hurdles to be overcome:

 

PRODUCTION

  • H2 remains expensive to produce (target is 2$/kg production costs, but does this include storage and transportation?).

  • Electrolyzer heat losses, heat-of-compression losses and heat-of-liquefaction losses result in large energy losses. Perhaps some of these could be turned into power generation or heat use (even heat storage in northern climates for seasonal heating).

  • High temperature, efficient electrolyzers need to run with a constant power input. Hence, H2 projects will require massive storage capacity to allow smooth, uninterrupted, stable power to be provided 24 hours a day from solar and wind.

  • Storage using pumped hydro? In areas where the sun is great (Saudi, Australia, Egypt…)?

  • Storage using batteries (environmental risks, metals shortages, recycling issues)? Most likely option at this time in project planning, but the environmental burden of the current generation of battery options is substantial.

  • Storage using compressed air energy storage methods (salt caverns, saline aquifers, steel-cased wellbores)? (Perhaps)

  • Consuming part of the H2 produced to level out the power provision? Combined with compressed air?

  • Sun-to-wheels (full cycle transportation) optimistically will achieve only E of 40% using the current technical pathways.

 

STORAGE: LARGE SCALE TO SMALL SCALE

  • As liquefied H2? A lot of energy needed, and the heat of compression could be partially used, but…

  • Can liquefied H2 at 21 K (-250°C) be easily stored at a local service station?

  • Can regional storage (a million kg or more) employ cryogenic storage reasonably and economically?

  • As compressed H2 in steel-cased wellbores (2500 kg per km deep 30 cm diameter well)?

  • As another molecule (NH3, CH3OH, C6H12…)? Ammonia has its issues (toxicity), but is the densest H2 carrier in the brief list.

  • Storage is needed at BOTH ENDS of the supply chain, and different scales of storage as well (e.g., differences between a regional storage hub and a local H2 “filling station”).

  • A regional hub must store perhaps 106 kg of H2 if it is used for fuel as well as for electrical power generation.  This is the energy equivalent of about 2.7×106 kg of CH4

    1. A “local” filling station must store enough for 1000 fill-ups per day for cars, about 6000-7000 kg.  H2 highway trucks need 50-100 kg.

    2. Vehicles must store fuel “on board”.  Large volume tanks, huge pressures, or a large weight of metals (for hydrides) are needed. 

     

    TRANSPORTATION

    • By pipeline under pressure?

    • Hydrogen embrittlement of steel remains an issue.

    • H2 is extremely light.  Even though it contains 2.7 times the energy mass density as methane, its volumetric energy density is so small that pipelines would need much higher velocities.

    • Pure hydrogen pipelines with H2 compressors, valves, etc., are much more susceptible to leakage because of the small molecular size of H2. 

    • In other words, it is not clear how transferable existing natural gas infrastructure is toward a H2 infrastructure. 

    • As another molecule? (reforming molecules back into H2 efficiently is an issue, and all these “changes” consume more energy)

    • As liquefied H2?  (extremely low-T tankers would be needed, better than current LNG carriers)

    • Adsorbed on a metal hydride? (poor mass ratio so carrying all that metal in both directions engenders a penalty)

     

    USE OF HYDROGEN

    • As fuel for vehicles (see above constraints)?

    • As fuel in homes, like natural gas?

    • As fuel for electrical power generation?

    • In fuel cells at a scale of many MW power output?

    • In current CCGT technology with up to 12% H2 in a CH4-based turbine?

    • In combined cycle H2 turbines? (NOx emissions are a concern)

    • In combined cycle H2/O2 turbines? (It costs additional energy to separate O2 from air)

     

    Many of these challenges are being met, at least partially.  Some remain as stubborn barriers to full commercialization.  But, one emerging fact seems clear: Without several massive breakthroughs in the H2 pathway, it will remain far more expensive than natural gas from fossil fuels (or hydrogen from fossil fuels). 

     

    Is Canada well-positioned for an emerging H2 economy?  Not particularly.  Here are some constraints.

    • Realistically, only the Gulf of St Lawrence has wind power that is sufficiently steady, strong, and reliable to warrant large-scale H2 generation on a continual stead basis.  And even then, massive storage will be needed to make it steady, clean and reliable.  

    • Solar is too seasonal in Canada, unless you can store the H2 seasonally (as we currently do with natural gas).  Compare to Australia.

    • Great natural gas infrastructure, but we are not yet sure how “adaptable” it is.  Also, the natural gas pipelines infrastructure is huge, extremely well-developed in the west, but far less so in the east and Maritimes.

    • Could we build CANDU centres to provide a base load power feed to large-scale electrolyzers for H2 manufacture? 

    • …and other points…

     

    Each of us will have somewhat different views of these constraints and how important they are or if they can be overcome realistically in today’s political climate.  Nonetheless, these issues must be carefully weighed by users, scientists, and politicians at all levels if a pathway to climate change control is to be implemented using H2 as the base energy carrier.  Conversion to a (partial) H2 economy over time would certainly contribute massively to climate change control, but a lot remains to be done to get there. 

Fortescue looks to build 9.2GW wind and solar green hydrogen project in Egypt

Giles Parkinson 11 September 2022 

Andrew Forrest’s Fortescue Future Industries says it is looking to build a 9.2GW wind and solar facility that will power green hydrogen production in Egypt, and could also include local manufacturing facilities for wind and solar.

Forrest and his team from FFI, the billionaire’s newly formed green energy venture, are on yet another global tour scouting for opportunities to meet his ambition of producing 15 million tonnes of green hydrogen a year by 2030.

The newly revealed 9.2GW project – and other green energy opportunities – were discussed over the weekend by Forrest and his team with Egypt president Abdel Fattah El-Sisi, in the lead up to the latest UN climate talks due to be held in Egypt later this year.

“Egypt is on the way to becoming a global powerhouse in the green energy value chain and will be ready to show the world that at COP27,” Forrest said in a statement, in reference to the Conference of the Parties, as the UN talks are described.

“Egypt’s excellent wind and solar resources can generate the renewable energy required to produce large scale green electricity, green hydrogen and green ammonia.”

It is the latest in a series of project announcements unveiled by Forrest and his team over the last year and a half, when Forrest has scoured the world, and large tracts of Australia, looking for green energy and green hydrogen opportunities.

Fortescue and FFI have already announced plans for a 5.2GW wind and solar project in the Pilbara, which will be mostly focused on the company’s massive iron ore operations, transport needs and possibly local manufacturing and production.

Forrest is also exploring opportunities in the south of the state, near Esperance, and has reportedly been signing deals with landowners to host the massive wind turbines that would power such a project, although few details have actually been released.

In Queensland, Forrest’s private investment firm Squadron Energy has begun construction of a first 450MW stage of the Clarke Creek renewables hub that could also include more wind, solar, battery storage and green hydrogen production.

Near Gladstone, FFI is constructing the country’s first major hydrogen electrolyser factory, with an initial capacity of 2GW a year, and is also looking to build wind turbine towers, solar modules and other green energy infrastructure at the same green manufacturing site.

The same options appear to be on the cars in Egypt, where Forrest and FFI have also raised the possibility of local manufacturing to supply the massive green hydrogen project should it go ahead.

“The meeting tackled collaboration between Fortescue Future Industries and Egypt’s electricity and renewable energy sector in the fields of green hydrogen production and green ammonia with a 9.2 GW installed capacity from renewable energy,” a presidential spokesman said.

“(It also discussed) the localisation of electricity production from solar and wind resources such as solar panels and wind turbines.”  

 

Maurice B Dusseault

Earth and Environmental Sciences

+1 519 589 9994

Canada and world energy needs

Canada is the democratic world’s largest exporter of oil and natural gas, almost exclusively to the United States, where it supplies well over 50% of USA’s oil imports, but a lessening percentage of their natural gas needs because of the remarkable developments in shale gas and shale oil development over the last 15 years in North America.

Metals Needed for the Energy Transformation

Metals Needed for the Energy Transformation

Optimistic scenarios are touted for electrical vehicles (EVs), needed to meet decarbonization goals adopted by Canada in April 2021. The 2020 Bloomberg chart below suggests a fourteen-fold (×14) increase in EVs to 2040. Now, reality analysis has to kick in when we see such projections. Are they realistic?

Mark Jacobson's paper

Professor Jacobson and his team have performed analyses for large interconnected grids and conclude that, for electrical power provision, we can go to 100% solar/wind/hydro within the next generation, with significant investments of course. This article should be studied. A few comments….

Batteries - Mr. Battery speaks to you...

Colleagues:

Elon Musk has convinced many people that batteries and EVs, all charged with renewable power (solar and wind) are the only reasonable path forward for decarbonizing the transportation industry.

Battery storage is but one aspect of energy storage, and an expensive, chemically-based, and environmentally challenging one at that for grid-scale storage. But, the good news is that it is increasingly accepted (finally!) that large-scale, long-term energy storage that is not battery-based is absolutely vital for electrifying our societies to the level we wish.

This strange little dialogue below is an odd attempt by someone to bring to the fore some of the major issues related to batteries at the “scale of the world going to EVs.”

Some of the claims may be somewhat off-base, you may argue with the numbers, and VESTA has promised recyclable turbine blades (really?), but the basic issues are there, and they are not easily resolved in favorable pathways. Some comments….

Collapse of Petroleum Engineering Programs

Things change fast in resource industries (forestry, mining, oil and gas, …) as the market swings and the “economic supercycles” affect prices and investment levels. The “university cycle” takes longer, but this creates a mismatch in supply and demand of persons with appropriate training, as once an uptick happens, it takes several years for enrollment to rise, and 4 or 5 years to graduate. This mismatch has whiplashed petroleum programs everywhere in the world.

How Negative Power Prices Work

Negative prices for power?? It happens! Even in Ontario, but this example is from Australia.

This solar farm in Australia has to shut down repeatedly when prices become negative; in other words, when the sun is shining strongly, and all the solar farms and the base load (coal power stations) are cranking out the MegaWatts hours, a surplus of power drives the markets down, even to the point of negative prices, to “force” suppliers to slow down or shut down their energy feed into the grid. Too much supply develops when the solar conditions are ideal and the energy demand is moderate.

These are the Top 10 Emerging Technologies of 2019

July 3, 2019

The World Economic Forum released a report that listed the top 10 emerging technologies of 2019, which are as follows:

large_myTqyxHjBB7OZnwP74Rs-7_I4EDL_ZwMPpoM512befs.png

You will note that Grid-Scale Energy Storage makes the top 10.

Grid scale means > 100 MW.  There are four technologies that might make it: Batteries, pumped hydro, compressed air energy storage, power to fuel (H2, CH3OH…).

We already have hydro on demand, good for peaking, but little pumped hydro (Ontario’s Adam Beck, at 80 MW, is the largest pumped hydro project around), and none specifically geared to store renewable energy. 

Power to liquids or gas is around 30-40% efficient.  Unless you can find a way to use the waste heat in a beneficial manner.

Batteries?  At grid scale?  The environmental impact (and demands on rare metals) will be huge, and batteries are 4-5 times more costly per kWh than pumped hydro or compressed air.

Compressed air comes off pretty good in a comparison. 

Can Technology Arrest Global Warming?

Your interest in energy is, unfortunately, shared by few.  Your question as to whether technology can arrest global warming is a good one, and the answer is probably yes, but the chances of that happening fast enough are probably close to nil, mostly for cost and political reasons.

For consumers in the developed world, their only concern is that energy (power, heat, fuel) is available when needed without inconvenience.  Just as everyone knows that “hamburger comes from stores”, we also all know that “power comes from wall plugs”.  For consumers in the less-developed world, things are far more complicated, and energy issues are far more impactive, but they consume much less energy per capita than we do.  In fact, many of them suffer from “Energy Poverty” – a lack of access to even small amounts of power for lights at night and phone charging.

Still Optimistic?

For those who retain a significantly optimistic outlook on issues relating to carbon dioxide emissions reductions and climate change, the BP Statistical review for this year, just issued, and considered one of the most authoritative annual analyses of the energy industry, is sobering, to say the least.